ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI SULAWESI SELATAN PERIODE TAHUN 2013-2023
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Abstract
This study analyzes the dynamics of economic growth in South Sulawesi during the 2013-2023 period, focusing on structural transformation, regional disparities, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Using a quantitative approach with descriptive and inferential analysis methods, this research processes time series secondary data from various official sources. The results show dynamic economic growth with three distinct phases: stable growth (2013-2019), pandemic contraction (2020-2021), and recovery (2022-2023). Structural economic transformation is marked by an increase in the tertiary sector's contribution to 45.8% in 2023. Location Quotient and Shift Share analyses confirm the shift in comparative advantage to manufacturing and service sectors. Regional inequality shows a declining trend with the Williamson Index from 0.45 to 0.38, althoug inter-regional disparities remain significant. The highest technical efficiency is found in the service sector (0.978), while traditional sectors require productivity optimization. The COVID-19 pandemic had asymmetric impacts with the deepest contraction in tourism (-45.6%), but showed significant recovery supported by digital adaptation and stimulus policies. Growth projection for 2024-2026 is estimated at 6.2-6.8%, with recommendations for strengthening innovation ecosystems, MSME digitalization, infrastructure development, and human resource quality improvement
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Main Article Content
Abstract
This study analyzes the dynamics of economic growth in South Sulawesi during the 2013-2023 period, focusing on structural transformation, regional disparities, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Using a quantitative approach with descriptive and inferential analysis methods, this research processes time series secondary data from various official sources. The results show dynamic economic growth with three distinct phases: stable growth (2013-2019), pandemic contraction (2020-2021), and recovery (2022-2023). Structural economic transformation is marked by an increase in the tertiary sector's contribution to 45.8% in 2023. Location Quotient and Shift Share analyses confirm the shift in comparative advantage to manufacturing and service sectors. Regional inequality shows a declining trend with the Williamson Index from 0.45 to 0.38, althoug inter-regional disparities remain significant. The highest technical efficiency is found in the service sector (0.978), while traditional sectors require productivity optimization. The COVID-19 pandemic had asymmetric impacts with the deepest contraction in tourism (-45.6%), but showed significant recovery supported by digital adaptation and stimulus policies. Growth projection for 2024-2026 is estimated at 6.2-6.8%, with recommendations for strengthening innovation ecosystems, MSME digitalization, infrastructure development, and human resource quality improvement